My Final Oscar Predictions!!!
Hello true believers and welcome to that annual thing of things - my Oscar Predictions! This year is as predictable as most years, but the funny thing about this year is that Best Picture is the one up in the air. If you had asked me a month ago - hell, a week ago - I would have said The Power of the Dog was a lock for the win. Most Oscar pundits would have said the same. But then the PGA's surprised everyone and awarded their prize to CODA. Add this to their surprise win at the SAG Awards two weeks back and it's beginning to look like a photo finish coming up. The SAG membership is the largest block of voters in The Academy. The PGA is the only other awards, other than The Oscars, that have a preferential ballot, wherein instead of voting on one choice, you list the films in order of preference. These two things combined make CODA suddenly look like a frontrunner. Technically I believe The Power of the Dog is still the frontrunner, but as voting was closing down (and Academy voters are notorious for sending in their ballots at the last minute) CODA was shooting upwards. Anyhoo, here are my predictions. And awaaaaaay we go....
Best Picture
Predicted Winner: CODA
Possible Spoiler: The Power of the Dog (not really a spoiler tho)
If I had a Vote: Licorice Pizza
Should've been Nominated: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Director
Predicted Winner: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Possible Spoiler: No one really
If I had a Vote: PTA for Licorice Pizza or Branagh for Belfast
Should've been Nominated: Guillermo Del Toro for Nightmare Alley
Best Actress
Predicted Winner: Jessica Chastain in The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Possible Spoiler: Kristen Stewart could surprise
If I had a Vote: Kristen Stewart as Princess Diana
Should've been Nominated: Alana Haim in Licorice Pizza
Best Actor
Predicted Winner: Will Smith in King Richard
Possible Spoiler: Cumberbatch maybe, Garfield maybe, but unlikely
If I had a Vote: Denzel as Macbeth
Should've been Nominated: Peter Dinklage in Cyrano
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Winner: Ariana DeBose in West Side Story
Possible Spoiler: Kirsten Dunst, but again, not likely
If I had a Vote: Jessie Buckley in The Lost Daughter
Should've been Nominated: Catriona Balfe in Belfast
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Winner: Troy Hutser in CODA
Possible Spoiler: Kodi Smitt-McPhee in The Power of the Dog
If I had a Vote: J.K. Simmons in Being the Ricardos
Should've been Nominated: Jared Leto in House of Gucci
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted Winner: Belfast
Possible Spoiler: Licorice Pizza or Don't Look Up
If I had a Vote: Licorice Pizza
Should've been Nominated: The French Dispatch
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Winner: CODA
Possible Spoiler: The Power of the Dog
If I had a Vote: The Lost Daughter
Should've been Nominated: Nightmare Alley
Best International Film
Predicted Winner: Drive My Car
Possible Spoiler: The Worst Person in the World
If I had a Vote: The Worst Person in the World
Should've been Nominated: Titane
Best Animated Film
Predicted Winner: Encanto
Possible Spoiler: The Mitchells vs. The Machines
If I had a Vote: The Mitchells vs. The Machines
Should've been Nominated: Cryptozoo
Best Documentary Feature
Predicted Winner: Summer of Soul
Possible Spoiler: Flee
If I had a Vote: Flee
Should've been Nominated: ?????
Best Cinematography
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: West Side Story
If I had a Vote: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Should've been Nominated: Belfast
Best Production Design
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: Nightmare Alley
If I had a Vote: Nightmare Alley
Should've been Nominated: The French Dispatch
Best Film Editing
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: King Richard
If I had a Vote: Tick, Tick... Boom!
Should've been Nominated: West Side Story
Best Costume Design
Predicted Winner: Cruella
Possible Spoiler: Dune maybe
If I had a Vote: Cruella
Should've been Nominated: House of Gucci
Best Hair & Make-Up
Predicted Winner: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Possible Spoiler: Dune
If I had a Vote: Dune
Should've been Nominated: Last Night in Soho
Best Sound
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: West Side Story
If I had a Vote: Dune
Should've been Nominated: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Original Score
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: Encanto
If I had a Vote: Parallel Mothers
Should've been Nominated: Spencer
Best Original Song
Predicted Winner: No Time to Die
Possible Spoiler: Dos Oruguitas from Encanto (this would give Lin-Manuel Miranda an EGOT
If I had a Vote: Down to Joy from Belfast
Should've been Nominated: We Don't Talk About Bruno, but...
Best Visual Effects
Predicted Winner: Dune
Possible Spoiler: Spider-Man: No Way Home
If I had a Vote: Dune
Should've been Nominated: Eternals
Best Animated Short
Predicted Winner: Robin Robin
Possible Spoiler: The Windshield Wiper
Best Live Action Short
Predicted Winner: The Long Goodbye
Possible Spoiler: On My Mind
Best Documentary Short
Predicted Winner: The Queen of Basketball
Possible Spoiler: Audible
So that gives six Oscars to Dune and it has CODA winning all three it is nominated for. But can Jane Campion really take home Best Director without her film winning anything else? I guess we will see.
That's it gang! See ya 'round the web! ...and At The Movies!!
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