My Final Oscar Predictions

Hello true believers and welcome to that annual thing of things - my Oscar Predictions! They're a bit late this year, as are the Oscars themselves. Something to do with a pandemic we had last year (and are still kinda having), but hey, enough of that nonsense, let's get on with the predictions. They are rather predictable this year - even moreso than normal. Nearly every technical category is a lock. The only real questions overall, other than the always wonky short film categories, are Adapted Screenplay (a two way race) and Best Actress, which honestly could go to pretty much anyone right now. And, in a year where more people of color have been nominated than ever before, if my predictions come true in the acting categories, it will be even more historical, as it will be the first time all four acting Oscars will have been won by people of color. Anyhoo, here are my predictions. And awaaaaaay we go....


Best Picture

Predicted Winner: Nomadland
Possible Spoiler: The Trial of the Chicago 7
If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Director

Predicted Winner: Chloe Zhao
Possible Spoiler: Nobody
If I had a Vote: Zhao or Fincher

Best Actress

Predicted Winner: Viola Davis in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Possible Spoiler: Carey Mulligan (though McDormand or Day could sneak in too)
If I had a Vote: Carey Mulligan

Best Actor

Predicted Winner: Chadwick Boseman in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Possible Spoiler: Absolutely No One!!
If I had a Vote: Chadwick Boseman

Best Supporting Actress

Predicted Winner: Yuh-Jung Youn in Minari
Possible Spoiler: Olivia Colman could, but...
If I had a Vote: Yuh-Jung Youn is Fantasteeek

Best Supporting Actor

Predicted Winner: Daniel Kaluuya in Judas & The Black Messiah
Possible Spoiler: Paul Raci, but hardly likely
If I had a Vote:

Best Original Screenplay

Predicted Winner: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman
Possible Spoiler: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7
If I had a Vote: Emerald

Best Adapted Screenplay

Predicted Winner: The Father (in a super close call)
Possible Spoiler: Nomadland (tho many are predicting this one)
If I had a Vote: Kemp Powers for One Night in Miami

Best International Film

Predicted Winner: Another Round
Possible Spoiler: Quo Vadis, Aida (but unlikely as hell)
If I had a Vote: Another Round

Best Animated Film

Predicted Winner: Soul
Possible Spoiler: Wolfwalkers
If I had a Vote: Wolfwalkers

Best Documentary Feature

Predicted Winner: My Octopus Teacher
Possible Spoiler: Time or Collective
If I had a Vote: My Octopus Teacher

Best Cinematography

Predicted Winner: Nomadland
Possible Spoiler: Mank
If I had a Vote: Mank (or maybe Nomadland)

Best Production Design

Predicted Winner: Mank
Possible Spoiler: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Film Editing

Predicted Winner: Sound of Metal
Possible Spoiler: The Trial of the Chicago 7
If I had a Vote: Promising Young Woman

Best Costume Design

Predicted Winner: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Possible Spoiler: Emma (but no)
If I had a Vote: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Best Hair & Make-Up

Predicted Winner: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Possible Spoiler: Pinocchio (but no)
If I had a Vote: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Best Sound

Predicted Winner: Sound of Metal
Possible Spoiler: Soul
If I had a Vote: Sound of Metal

Best Original Score

Predicted Winner: Soul
Possible Spoiler: Minari or Mank (but no)
If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Original Song

Predicted Winner: Speak Now from One Night in Miami
Possible Spoiler: Husavik from Eurovision (?)
If I had a Vote: Speak Now

Best Visual Effects

Predicted Winner: Tenet
Possible Spoiler: Mulan or Midnight Sky
If I had a Vote: Tenet

Best Animated Short

Predicted Winner: If Anything Happens, I Love You
Possible Spoiler: Opera
If I had a Vote: If Anything Happens, I Love You

Best Live Action Short

Predicted Winner: Two Distant Strangers
Possible Spoiler: Feeling Through
If I had a Vote: Two Distant Strangers

Best Documentary Short

Predicted Winner: A Concerto is a Conversation
Possible Spoiler: Colette or A Love Song for Latasha
If I had a Vote: Haven't seen all of them yet

That's it gang! See ya 'round the web!



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