My Final Oscar Predictions

Hello true believers and welcome to that annual thing of things - my Oscar Predictions! They're a bit late this year, as are the Oscars themselves. Something to do with a pandemic we had last year (and are still kinda having), but hey, enough of that nonsense, let's get on with the predictions. They are rather predictable this year - even moreso than normal. Nearly every technical category is a lock. The only real questions overall, other than the always wonky short film categories, are Adapted Screenplay (a two way race) and Best Actress, which honestly could go to pretty much anyone right now. And, in a year where more people of color have been nominated than ever before, if my predictions come true in the acting categories, it will be even more historical, as it will be the first time all four acting Oscars will have been won by people of color. Anyhoo, here are my predictions. And awaaaaaay we go....

Best Picture

Predicted Winner: Nomadland

Possible Spoiler: The Trial of the Chicago 7

If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Director

Predicted Winner: Chloe Zhao

Possible Spoiler: Nobody

If I had a Vote: Zhao or Fincher

Best Actress

Predicted Winner: Viola Davis in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Possible Spoiler: Carey Mulligan (though McDormand or Day could sneak in too)

If I had a Vote: Carey Mulligan

Best Actor

Predicted Winner: Chadwick Boseman in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Possible Spoiler: Absolutely No One!!

If I had a Vote: Chadwick Boseman

Best Supporting Actress

Predicted Winner: Yuh-Jung Youn in Minari

Possible Spoiler: Olivia Colman could, but...

If I had a Vote: Yuh-Jung Youn is Fantasteeek

Best Supporting Actor

Predicted Winner: Daniel Kaluuya in Judas & The Black Messiah

Possible Spoiler: Paul Raci, but hardly likely

If I had a Vote:

Best Original Screenplay

Predicted Winner: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman

Possible Spoiler: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7

If I had a Vote: Emerald

Best Adapted Screenplay

Predicted Winner: The Father (in a super close call)

Possible Spoiler: Nomadland (tho many are predicting this one)

If I had a Vote: Kemp Powers for One Night in Miami

Best International Film

Predicted Winner: Another Round

Possible Spoiler: Quo Vadis, Aida (but unlikely as hell)

If I had a Vote: Another Round

Best Animated Film

Predicted Winner: Soul

Possible Spoiler: Wolfwalkers

If I had a Vote: Wolfwalkers

Best Documentary Feature

Predicted Winner: My Octopus Teacher

Possible Spoiler: Time or Collective

If I had a Vote: My Octopus Teacher

Best Cinematography

Predicted Winner: Nomadland

Possible Spoiler: Mank

If I had a Vote: Mank (or maybe Nomadland)

Best Production Design

Predicted Winner: Mank

Possible Spoiler: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Film Editing

Predicted Winner: Sound of Metal

Possible Spoiler: The Trial of the Chicago 7

If I had a Vote: Promising Young Woman

Best Costume Design

Predicted Winner: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Possible Spoiler: Emma (but no)

If I had a Vote: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Best Hair & Make-Up

Predicted Winner: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Possible Spoiler: Pinocchio (but no)

If I had a Vote: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Best Sound

Predicted Winner: Sound of Metal

Possible Spoiler: Soul

If I had a Vote: Sound of Metal

Best Original Score

Predicted Winner: Soul

Possible Spoiler: Minari or Mank (but no)

If I had a Vote: Mank

Best Original Song

Predicted Winner: Speak Now from One Night in Miami

Possible Spoiler: Husavik from Eurovision (?)

If I had a Vote: Speak Now

Best Visual Effects

Predicted Winner: Tenet

Possible Spoiler: Mulan or Midnight Sky

If I had a Vote: Tenet

Best Animated Short

Predicted Winner: If Anything Happens, I Love You

Possible Spoiler: Opera

If I had a Vote: If Anything Happens, I Love You

Best Live Action Short

Predicted Winner: Two Distant Strangers

Possible Spoiler: Feeling Through

If I had a Vote: Two Distant Strangers

Best Documentary Short

Predicted Winner: A Concerto is a Conversation

Possible Spoiler: Colette or A Love Song for Latasha

If I had a Vote: Haven't seen all of them yet

That's it gang! See ya 'round the web!