Sunday, February 24, 2019

My Final Oscar Predictions

So here we go kids! Time for my annual attempt at predicting the Academy Awards. My goal this time around, as it is every other time, is to finally break that 20 barrier. For those who do not know, there are 24 categories in which to predict. My record, which I have accomplished on multiple occasions, is 19. Here's to hopin' for that 20th correct prediction. But enough rambling. Let's get on with the show.

Best Picture
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Green Book
Surprise Win: Black Panther or Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win: The Favourite (my 2nd favourite film of 2018)

After an up and down awards season, most so-called experts, myself included, have settled upon Roma taking home the top prize. If this does indeed happen, it will be the first foreign language film to ever win Best Picture. But let's not get ahead of ourselves here. Green Book is more of what we are used to seeing win this award (ie, a middle of the road film) and it was once the leader in all the prediction charts. Some controversary has made this rather unlikely though. But again, let's not count it out. And speaking of not counting them out...it would not be a huge surprise to hear either Black Panther (the SAG winner) or Bohemian Rhapsody (the Golden Globe winner) be called on that final envelope. Who knows. Anyhoo...here are my predictions in the other 23 categories (including my choices for write-in votes, aka biggest snubs, for Best Actress & Actor).

Best Director
Will Win: Alfonso CaurĂ³n for Roma
Could Win: Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman

Best Actress
Will Win: Glenn Close in The Wife
Could Win: Olivia Colman in The Favourite
Should Win: Carey Mulligan in Wildlife (a write-in vote)

Best Actor
Will Win: Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: Bradley Cooper in A Star is Born
Should Win: Ethan Hawke in First Reformed (a write-in vote)

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk
Could Win: Rachel Weisz in The Favourite

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Mahershala Ali for Green Book
Could Win: Sam Elliott in A Star is Born

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: The Favourite
Could Win: Green Book

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Cold War (in a stunning upset)

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Could Win: Isle of Dogs

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Free Solo
Could Win: RBG

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: The Favourite

Best Production Design
Will Win: Black Panther
Could Win: The Favourite

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: BlacKkKlansman or Green Book

Best Costume Design
Will Win: The Favourite
Could Win: Black Panther or Mary Queen of Scots

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Will Win: Vice
Could Win: Mary Queen of Scots

Best Original Score
Will Win: Black Panther
Could Win: If Beale Street Could Talk or Mary Poppins Returns

Best Original Song
Will Win: Shallow from A Star is Born
Could Win: All the Stars from Black Panther

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: Black Panther or A Star is Born

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: Black Panther or A Quiet Place

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Avengers: Infinity War
Could Win: Ready Player One

Best Animated Short
Will Win: Bao
Could Win: Animal Behaviour

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: Marguerite
Could Win: Skin

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: End Game
Could Win: A Night at the Garden

That's it gang. See ya 'round the web.


1 comment:

  1. Looking forward to the Oscars as long as my power doesn’t go out due to the big windstorm. I hope Late Afternoon wins in Animated Short as I thought Bak was dumb but I’m ok if Animal Behaviour wins. I actually hope Melissa McCarthy wins but I will be floored if she does. I am hoping Mary Poppins wins for best score and I think Shallow will win best song. I really hope Spike Lee wins Best Director. Hey, I made up a list of questions about the Oscars and hope you take a peek. I will answer them Tuesday afternoon

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