Saturday, February 27, 2016

My Final Oscar Predictions

So here we go kids. My annual attempt at predicting the Oscars. Sure, there has been a lot of controversy over this year's rather lily white nominations, and rightfully so (where are the deserving nominations for Anthony P. Jordan in Creed, Oscar Isaac in Ex Machina, or Spike Lee for directing Chi-Raq!!??), but these are the nominees (until the Academy gains a bit of diversity in its membership), and these are my predictions. Have at 'em!

Best Picture
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Spotlight or The Big Short
Should Win: The Revenant

For awhile, it looked as if Spotlight was going to run away with this award, then The Big Short gained steam, and looked like it would take the big prize. Personally, I think these two socially relevant films, which are basically the same damn film, will cancel each other out, and the more cinematic film, The Revenant, will take home the prize. Then again, wins for either Spotlight or The Big Short are more in line with the Academy's penchant for giving awards to good, but basically mediocre films, a la The King's Speech or Argo. A win for Mad Max could be a fun surprise though.

Best Director
Will Win: Alejandro G. Inarittu for The Revenant
Could Win: George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Alejandro G. Inarritu for The Revenant

Before the nominations were announced, I thought Ridley Scott was a shoo-in for the Oscar, but when he was left out of the announcement, I had to throw in with a different horse. That horse is the Mexican auteur, Inarittu. But can he really pull it of two years in a row? If I am right, and Inarittu does win, that will make him just the third person to win back to back directing Oscars (after John Ford and Joe Mankiewicz), and the first guy to do it in 65 years, and if his film wins as well, he will be the very first director to have back to back Best Picture wins. Oh, and with Alfonso Cuaron's victory three years ago, an Inarittu win would make it three consecutive Mexican victories in the category. At least there is some diversity here. Oh, and let's not count out George Miller...just in case the Academy doesn't want to award a back to back Oscar here.

Best Actor
Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio in The Revenant
Could Win: Leonardo DiCaprio in The Revenant (come on!)
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio in The Revenant

Let's face it gang, this is Leo DiCaprio's award. I've never been a huge Leo fan, finding him good, but never great. In The Revenant, he is better than I have ever seen him before. Then again, the power of the direction makes this the great film it is, but still Leo does come through, and will finally get his Oscar. In another year, either Fassbender as Jobs or Cranston as Trumbo could walk away with this award, but not this year.

Best Actress
Will Win: Brie Larson in Room
Could Win: Charlotte Rampling in 45 Years (but doubtful)
Should Win: Cate Blanchett in Carol

Nearly as a big a shoo-in as Leo, Brie Larson's turn in the little indie film that could (and did) will win the young actress her first (of several?) Oscars. Personally, I would like to see the great Cate win her second Oscar, but that probably is not going to happen, Brie is a deserving victor though. Anyway, let's get on with the predictions, as the other two acting categories, and screenplay s a swell, are as big of shoo-ins as the lead categories.

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Sly Stallone in Creed
Could Win: Sly Stallone in Creed (shoo-in)
Should Win: Tom Hardy in The Revenant

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Alicia Vikander in The Danish Girl
Could Win: Kate Winslet in Steve Jobs
Should Win: Jennifer Jason Leigh in The Hateful Eight

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Spotlight
Could Win: Straight Outta Compton
Should Win: Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: The Big Short
Could Win: Room or Carol
Should Win: Carol

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Inside Out
Could Win: Anomalisa
Should Win: Anomalisa

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Amy
Could Win: What Happened, Miss Simone?
Should Win: Amy

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Son of Saul
Could Win: Mustang (but doubtful}
Should Win: Embrace of the Serpant

Best Cinematography
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Carol or Mad Max (but probably not)
Should Win: The Hateful Eight

Best Production Design
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Martian
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Big Short (kind of a two way race)
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Costume Design
Will Win: Carol (maybe a longshot, but what the hey)
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road or Cinderella
Should Win: Carol

Best Make-Up & Hairstyling
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Original Score
Will Win: The Hateful Eight
Could Win: Carol or Star Wars (but unlikely)
Should Win: The Hateful Eight

Best Original Song
Will Win: Til It Happens To You from The Hunting Ground
Could Win: Writings on the Wall from Spectre
Should Win: Til It Happens To You from The Hunting Ground (It's Gaga!!)

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road (two way race, really)
Should Win: The Revenant or Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road (two way race, really)
Should Win: The Revenant or Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road or The Revenant (that damn bear!)
Should Win: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Animated Short
Will Win: Bear Story
Could Win: Sanjay's Super Team
Should Win: We Can't Live Without Cosmos

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: Shok
Could Win: Shutterer
Should Win: ?????

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: A Girl in the River
Could Win: Body Team 12
Should Win: ?????

That's it gang. See ya 'round the web.

1 comment:

  1. I agree with you with all the major awards but I haven't seen every one of these so can't say some for sure. I now. Have an I Pad but can't place the pics in it-doesn't give the browse section. Do you know?

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